Descent into Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 946 | 57% | 2023-11-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1049 | 53% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1040 | 44% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 954 | 994 | 44% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 912 | 59% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1016 | 52% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 1125 | 31% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2016-11-27 | Won |
| 1093 | 1022 | 60% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 829 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
| 1155 | 919 | 80% | 1993-06-18 | Tied |
| 983 | 1021 | 45% | 1993-01-01 | Tied |
| 947 | 1178 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 993.5 has a 56.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).