Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 951 | 52% | 2025-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2024-12-12 | D | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-10-02 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2024-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2022-11-26 | | Won |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1170 | 51% | 2020-11-04 | | Won |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2020-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1159 | 58% | 2018-12-25 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2018-12-24 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2011-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2009-12-22 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 1994-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1029.3 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).