Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (10 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2024-12-18 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-12-14 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-01-20 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2021-01-02 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1097 | 62% | 2020-10-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2018-07-27 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2009-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2007-07-14 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2003-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1017.1 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).