Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (13 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 858 | 70% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1198 | 824 | 90% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 984 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 980 | 55% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 985 | 1114 | 32% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1019 | 51% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 962 | 1043 | 39% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1217 | 20% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1058 | 76% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 978 | 1263 | 16% | 2001-02-22 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1032 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1036.1 has a 51.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).