Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (13 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 849 | 74% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 820 | 87% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 948 | 960 | 48% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 984 | 1037 | 42% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 977 | 54% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 998 | 1133 | 31% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 988 | 1018 | 46% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 947 | 1043 | 37% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1070 | 70% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 978 | 1263 | 16% | 2001-02-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1036 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 1037.4 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).