Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (22 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Belgian): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 806 | 1073 | 18% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 929 | 1037 | 35% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 913 | 64% | 2012-11-03 | Lost |
| 920 | 748 | 73% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1086 | 54% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1128 | 36% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1055 | 53% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1241 | 1065 | 73% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1098 | 36% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 958 | 1046 | 38% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1073 | 52% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 901 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1022.2 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).