Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (21 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Belgian): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 849 | 1074 | 21% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 994 | 1108 | 34% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 939 | 1037 | 36% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 919 | 1014 | 37% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1055 | 53% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1129 | 1102 | 54% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1098 | 37% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1046 | 44% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 901 | 72% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1025.4 vs 1041 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).