Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 37
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 983 | 45% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1102 | 910 | 75% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1165 | 1030 | 69% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 893 | 1216 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1010 | 59% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 965 | 987 | 47% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 969 | 983 | 48% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1015 | 47% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1141 | 40% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1092 | 1048 | 56% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1032 | 59% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1073 | 63% | 1998-11-01 | Lost |
| 1076 | 946 | 68% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1030.6 has a 54.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).