End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (22 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (French): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 865 | 79% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1230 | 32% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 888 | 799 | 63% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1094 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1107 | 1069 | 55% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1044 | 58% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1233 | 943 | 84% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2005-12-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1046 | 46% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 968 | 1118 | 30% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 1113 | 52% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 1993-02-22 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1042.6 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).