End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (21 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 77
Defender wins (French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 865 | 73% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1174 | 31% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 800 | 66% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 967 | 62% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1096 | 1070 | 54% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1228 | 1067 | 72% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2005-12-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1046 | 63% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1114 | 41% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1156 | 20% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1029.8 vs 1053.7 has a 46.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).