The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (14 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 44
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1068 | 46% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 968 | 1023 | 42% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 955 | 63% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1053 | 994 | 58% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1094 | 54% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1106 | 40% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1118 | 57% | | Won |
| 1164 | 1003 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1091.9 vs 1066.3 has a 53.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).