The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (17 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1182 | 21% | 2026-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1120 | 43% | 2020-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2018-06-13 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2017-05-08 | | Won |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2016-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1024 | 49% | 2015-03-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2014-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1156 | 36% | 2007-07-12 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 1995-07-23 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 1013 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1053.9 has a 46.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).