Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (14 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 718 | 91% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1015 | 82% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1151 | 33% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1094 | 54% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1031 | 67% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1014 | 919 | 63% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1129 | 46% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 939 | 1084 | 30% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1039.7 has a 55.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).