Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (15 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1224 | 780 | 93% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1180 | 933 | 81% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1041 | 47% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1041 | 65% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 980 | 918 | 59% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1224 | 1164 | 59% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1224 | 30% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 1992-10-06 | Lost |
| 941 | 1024 | 38% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1038.5 has a 54.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).