Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (14 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1155 | 790 | 89% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1310 | 983 | 87% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 954 | 994 | 44% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1125 | 37% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1121 | 1093 | 54% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1064 | 63% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 920 | 60% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1155 | 1121 | 55% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1155 | 42% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 1068 | 32% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1042.1 has a 56.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).