Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (16 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 953 | 68% | 2019-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1038 | 50% | 2015-02-21 | | Lost |
| 829 | 1071 | 20% | 2014-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2014-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2013-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2011-06-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-04-23 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1211 | 25% | 2006-11-26 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2006-11-09 | | Won |
| 832 | 1133 | 15% | 2003-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1160 | 46% | 2002-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2000-01-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1999-07-02 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1056.4 has a 46.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).