Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (16 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-12-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 829 | 1071 | 20% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1043 | 63% | 2014-10-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1182 | 38% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1120 | 42% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1120 | 48% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1016 | 52% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1205 | 30% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 832 | 1102 | 17% | 2003-07-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1160 | 42% | 2002-05-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1031 | 50% | 2000-01-16 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 1999-07-02 | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1078.4 has a 45.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).