Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Dutch): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1030 | 67% | 2015-06-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1030 | 67% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1054 | 59% | 2013-10-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 863 | 62% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2008-05-03 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2006-03-26 | Won |
| 866 | 1069 | 24% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1129 | 51% | 1995-07-02 | Won |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 1991-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.5 vs 1026.2 has a 52.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).