Rude Awakening
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (8 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1134 | 29% | 2019-06-17 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2019-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2019-03-22 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2002-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1995-06-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 1045.1 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).