Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (24 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 39
Defender wins (German): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 995 | 956 | 56% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 956 | 995 | 44% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2020-07-02 | Lost |
| 1036 | 964 | 60% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 975 | 1034 | 42% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1135 | 40% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
| 862 | 951 | 37% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 975 | 47% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 1225 | 939 | 84% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
| 1075 | 1003 | 60% | 2013-07-13 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1064 | 46% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1016 | 62% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1052 | 1107 | 42% | 2007-05-25 | Won |
| 948 | 956 | 49% | 2006-04-07 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-12-05 | Lost |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2002-02-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1118 | 49% | 1995-06-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 1989-01-09 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 1989-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1021.9 vs 1020.7 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).