Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (25 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 39
Defender wins (German): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-06-22 | | Lost |
| 818 | 1056 | 20% | 2024-10-22 | | Won |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 995 | 51% | 2024-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2021-12-27 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1116 | 73% | 2020-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2019-01-17 | | Won |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2019-01-08 | | Won |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2018-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2018-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-11-30 | | Lost |
| 862 | 951 | 37% | 2014-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2013-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 939 | 88% | 2013-10-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2013-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-02-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2010-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-07-26 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1183 | 32% | 2007-05-25 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2006-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2002-02-09 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1995-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1989-01-09 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1989-01-08 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1030.2 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).