Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (New Zealand): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1158 | 44% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1283 | 954 | 87% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
| 1041 | 1149 | 35% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1005 | 58% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1204 | 37% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1065 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).