A Bridgehead Too Wet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (8 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-09-25 | Won |
| 906 | 893 | 52% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1128 | 53% | 2016-07-10 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2008-02-02 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1241 | 33% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1033.6 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).