Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (11 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (British): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2020-04-04 | | Won |
| 953 | 1011 | 42% | 2019-03-25 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2019-01-08 | | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2008-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2005-12-30 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1022 | 68% | 2005-12-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1995-07-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1027.4 has a 52.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).