Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (11 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (British): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2019-03-25 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 956 | 76% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 1003 | 63% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2005-12-30 | Won |
| 1223 | 1070 | 71% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1113 | 51% | 1995-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1018.7 has a 56.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).