Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (25 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 89
Defender wins (British): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1202 | 32% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 1007 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 968 | 70% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1100 | 72% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1220 | 51% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
| 707 | 1015 | 15% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 956 | 948 | 51% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1071 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1127 | 1118 | 51% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1129 | 39% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 963 | 54% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1231 | 35% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-11-02 | Won |
| 1118 | 1113 | 51% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
| 1065 | 1070 | 49% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1045 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).