Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1066 | 1078 | 48% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
987 | 906 | 61% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
875 | 1106 | 21% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
1149 | 951 | 76% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
1017 | 973 | 56% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
1132 | 1080 | 57% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
869 | 1199 | 13% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
869 | 1199 | 13% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
1221 | 1209 | 52% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
831 | 1015 | 26% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
1012 | 889 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
748 | 943 | 25% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1080 | 1066 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
1122 | 1132 | 49% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
1087 | 993 | 63% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
1085 | 1058 | 54% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
993 | 963 | 54% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
1189 | 748 | 93% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
1118 | 1241 | 33% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
1041 | 1069 | 46% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1026.5 vs 1048.9 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).