A New Kind of Foe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (17 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Russian / Partisan): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2024-10-27 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2020-11-30 | | Lost |
| 999 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-09-17 | | Won |
| 1055 | 983 | 60% | 2019-10-05 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-03-06 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2019-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2018-06-22 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1147 | 44% | 2018-01-30 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1147 | 44% | 2017-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2016-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-07-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2010-04-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2009-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1999-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 1995-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 1991-06-19 | | Tied |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1023.5 vs 1080.8 has a 41.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).