The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Partisan): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 951 | 57% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 911 | 76% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 1054 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 966 | 66% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 958 | 49% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1233 | 999 | 79% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 914 | 1090 | 27% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 1048 | 46% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 906 | 60% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 950 | 1156 | 23% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 907 | 908 | 50% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 833 | 1076 | 20% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1076 | 56% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 867 | 1094 | 21% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1011.2 vs 1019.5 has a 48.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).