The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 60
Defender wins (Partisan): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 980 | 53% | 2021-05-26 | | Won |
| 1108 | 911 | 76% | 2020-02-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2019-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2018-03-20 | | Won |
| 1058 | 986 | 60% | 2018-03-19 | | Lost |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2018-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 983 | 81% | 2014-07-05 | | Won |
| 972 | 1134 | 28% | 2013-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2011-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2010-02-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1116 | 34% | 2008-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-01-29 | | Won |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2004-06-09 | | Won |
| 832 | 1150 | 14% | 2002-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1995-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1024.8 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).