Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 924 | 48% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1108 | 1015 | 63% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 931 | 63% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1026 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1111 | 51% | 2016-05-12 | Won |
| 1111 | 1120 | 49% | 2016-04-27 | Lost |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 1255 | 15% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 1116 | 1255 | 31% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 1173 | 1116 | 58% | 2013-11-07 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1116 | 57% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 900 | 945 | 44% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 982 | 55% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 919 | 1014 | 37% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 972 | 68% | 2007-03-02 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2006-07-05 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2004-11-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1113 | 38% | 1999-01-20 | Lost |
| 866 | 1069 | 24% | 1998-06-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 911 | 78% | 1993-04-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1129 | 19% | 1993-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1055.9 has a 46.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).