Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (26 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 98
Defender wins (American): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1108 | 983 | 67% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 964 | 58% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1023 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 1111 | 50% | 2016-05-12 | Won |
| 1111 | 1108 | 50% | 2016-04-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1158 | 31% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
| 958 | 1210 | 19% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 1083 | 1210 | 32% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 1172 | 1083 | 63% | 2013-11-07 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1083 | 60% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 900 | 1066 | 28% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2012-12-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1129 | 46% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2009-01-31 | Lost |
| 919 | 1098 | 26% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1099 | 966 | 68% | 2007-03-02 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2006-07-05 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1036 | 70% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1113 | 37% | 1999-01-20 | Lost |
| 867 | 1051 | 26% | 1998-06-06 | Lost |
| 1113 | 911 | 76% | 1993-04-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1113 | 21% | 1993-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1057.6 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).