The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 390 (66 on the archive and 324 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 198
Defender wins (Russian): 192
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1001 | 53% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1019 | 1001 | 53% | 2024-08-04 | Lost |
| 981 | 1014 | 45% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
| 1032 | 1129 | 36% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1108 | 994 | 66% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 971 | 1154 | 26% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 882 | 970 | 38% | 2022-09-28 | Won |
| 1169 | 977 | 75% | 2022-07-03 | Won |
| 1192 | 1017 | 73% | 2021-10-14 | Won |
| 1192 | 1118 | 60% | 2021-10-14 | Won |
| 936 | 908 | 54% | 2021-06-30 | Won |
| 1119 | 1255 | 31% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1165 | 26% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2021-05-06 | Lost |
| 882 | 1011 | 32% | 2021-03-24 | Lost |
| 1165 | 984 | 74% | 2021-03-14 | Won |
| 1062 | 931 | 68% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1116 | 1292 | 27% | 2019-12-04 | Won |
| 917 | 917 | 50% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1116 | 49% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 888 | 874 | 52% | 2018-09-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2018-06-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 994 | 1108 | 34% | 2018-05-21 | Lost |
| 1108 | 994 | 66% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 972 | 1032 | 41% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2017-06-12 | Won |
| 1015 | 958 | 58% | 2017-05-11 | Lost |
| 893 | 1116 | 22% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 956 | 931 | 54% | 2017-01-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 881 | 68% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 961 | 71% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 969 | 1069 | 36% | 2015-04-29 | Lost |
| 836 | 1116 | 17% | 2013-11-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 979 | 67% | 2013-08-17 | Won |
| 900 | 945 | 44% | 2013-01-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1013 | 50% | 2012-09-20 | Won |
| 901 | 951 | 43% | 2012-09-20 | Won |
| 931 | 1067 | 31% | 2012-07-22 | Won |
| 944 | 1094 | 30% | 2011-08-07 | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 963 | 968 | 49% | 2010-12-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2010-10-18 | Won |
| 989 | 941 | 57% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1008 | 963 | 56% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 910 | 75% | 2009-10-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1014 | 45% | 2009-05-09 | Won |
| 919 | 1014 | 37% | 2007-10-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1072 | 48% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
| 1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2004-11-22 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2004-08-16 | Won |
| 928 | 931 | 50% | 2004-06-15 | Lost |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2001-11-17 | Won |
| 918 | 994 | 39% | 2001-05-21 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1040 | 61% | 1998-12-05 | Won |
| 1056 | 1098 | 44% | 1998-07-22 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1037 | 52% | 1998-04-09 | Won |
| 1069 | 1061 | 51% | 1995-10-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 911 | 78% | 1994-02-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 944 | 56% | 1991-05-01 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (34 wins) average ELOs: 1012.8 vs 1018.9 has a 49.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).